# Re: How hard a Singularity?

From: Aaron McBride (amcbride@jps.net)
Date: Tue Jun 25 2002 - 18:14:52 MDT

At 04:26 PM 6/25/2002 -0700, you wrote:
<clip>

>Hell, if I had to give the answer to "623 + 377" but giving the wrong
>answer would kill, well, even ONE person I'd get like 10 other opinions
>before answering! And if even one of them was different I'd get 20 more, etc.
>
>James Higgins
>

What if the situation were changed to:
for every min. you did not answer - someone died
and if you answered wrong - 10 people died.

Let's say you're 90% (+-5%) sure that the answer is: 1000. Would you still
take the time to consult with someone else? With ten others? What if 1
out of the 10 you consult says the answer is 990? Would you still get 20
more?*

It is rational to check with others to see if your theories of
Friendliness, but it doesn't make sense to not move forward just because
someone disagrees.

-Aaron

*The real solutions depends on how long it takes to do the consulting.

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