From: Brian Atkins (firstname.lastname@example.org)
Date: Sun Jun 30 2002 - 13:49:40 MDT
Ben Goertzel wrote:
> > Right, we need some way to compare between them all.
> And I don't see any way to make reasonably solid probability estimates about
> *any* of these risks... the risk of the human race bombing itself to
> oblivion OR the risk of a certain apparently friendly Ai going rogue...
Does anyone know of any specific attempts to nail down probabilities
of various existential risks? I guess we have some rough estimates for
asteroid impacts... could we use the fact that apparently if you give
a few thousand (supposedly ethical) army scientists access to anthrax
that the odds are apparently high one of them will abuse their tech?
I guess that doesn't bode well for making any kind of advanced bio or
nanotech available to large numbers of scientists.
-- Brian Atkins Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence http://www.intelligence.org/
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