Re: Human extinction

From: nuzz604 (nuzz604@gmail.com)
Date: Mon Jan 16 2006 - 21:46:29 MST


Keep in mind that a major technology paradigm can become part of mainstream culture after about 10 years (but that number can always vary by much). A poll today will probably show that people wouldn't be willing to upload, because you are polling the people of the year 2006. Fast forward to ten years after uploading becomes available to the public, and the poll will yield different results. As time increases, the percentage of those choosing "yes" in that poll, usually approaches 100.

Now in this hypothetical situation we are talking about, are we talking about uploading being a brand new thing? 10 years on the market? 50 years? You simply can't do a prediction of how many will upload based on polls from today.

Mark V. Nuzzolilo II

----- Original Message -----
  From: Russell Wallace
  To: sl4@sl4.org
  Sent: Monday, January 16, 2006 4:19 PM
  Subject: Re: Human extinction

  I think you greatly overestimate the number of people who'd want to upload themselves into a simulated world, or even see it as something other than suicide. Sure, lots of people would, but there'd also be plenty who wouldn't - try doing an informal poll (among normal people, not us technogeeks) and see what percentage of yes and no you get.

  - Russell



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