From: Jeff Medina (email@example.com)
Date: Sun Apr 23 2006 - 23:11:42 MDT
On 4/23/06, Richard Loosemore <firstname.lastname@example.org> wrote:
> So Kurzweil has done a disservice to the idea by emphasizing those
> curves. It just does not make sense to look at a curve and suppose that
> no new factors will kick in as it heads off to infinity.
In TSIN, Kurzweil specifically acknowledges and discusses how,
historically, any particular factor/technology has always hit a
plateau, and that we should (and he does) quite strongly expect that
any exponential trends that continue will similarly depend on new
factors as old & current technologies hit their own plateaus.
-- Jeff Medina http://www.painfullyclear.com/ Community Director Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence http://www.singinst.org/ Relationships & Community Fellow Institute for Ethics & Emerging Technologies http://www.ieet.org/ School of Philosophy, Birkbeck, University of London http://www.bbk.ac.uk/phil/
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