Re: Strong AI Takeoff Scenarios

From: CyTG (cytg.net@gmail.com)
Date: Fri Sep 21 2007 - 02:12:36 MDT


Off topic from a ghost :) .. but you guys are frequently talking about
beeing somewhat far away from the takeoff scenario both in terms of software
and hardware.. are there any lists/sites that deals with a more precise
micro detailed evaluation of these specifics? Just how much hardware do we
think we need in regards to wich framework and what does curret frameworks
lack? What bottlenecks, hurdles, are we looking at and what sort of R&D are
going into solving them ?
If anyone knows!
Thanks.

On 9/17/07, R. W. <rtwebb43@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> I think #2 is the top priority for the Malthusians leading the world.
> They want to cull the herd.
>
> *Daniel Burfoot <daniel.burfoot@gmail.com>* wrote:
>
>
>
> On 9/17/07, Rolf Nelson <rolf.h.d.nelson@gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> >
> > 2. Giant disaster or war, say on a scale that kills off more than 20%
> > of humanity in a single year.
>
>
>
> I don't think it would require such a huge disaster. It may be that the
> conditions under which technological advance and economic development like
> we've seen for the last 300 years or so are relatively fragile. Imagine a
> major economic meltdown, which reduces most of humanity to substinence
> farming.
>
> Say terrorists get their hands on a nuke and blow up New York. Global
> chaos results, setting off a chain reaction of governments and financial
> institutions defaulting on debt. The economic system grinds to a halt,
> millions starve, etc etc.
>
> Also, note that history has shown how civilization can advance but also
> recede. After the Roman Empire fell, there was no comparably advanced
> civilization (in Europe) for more than 1000 years.
>
> Dan
>
>
>
>
>
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>
>



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