**From:** Anthony Berglas (*anthony@berglas.org*)

**Date:** Tue Jul 22 2008 - 01:06:50 MDT

**Next message:**B Ziomek: "Re: [sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?"**Previous message:**John K Clark: "Re: [sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?."**Maybe in reply to:**Scott Dickey: "[sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?"**Next in thread:**B Ziomek: "Re: [sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?"**Reply:**B Ziomek: "Re: [sl4] What is the probability of a positive singularity?"**Messages sorted by:**[ date ] [ thread ] [ subject ] [ author ] [ attachment ]

At 09:20 AM 22/07/2008, Scott Dickey wrote:

*>A question for all,
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*>
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*>What is your current estimate of the probability that humanity will
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*>survive to see a positive singularity?
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Extremely unlikely.

See http://berglas.org/Articles/AIKillGrandchildren/AIKillGrandchildren.html

The good news is that we need not worry about global warming etc.

Anthony

*>Where "survive" means to avoid existential threats as outlined by
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*>Nick Bostrom (1), and where "positive singularity" is the ideal
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*>espoused by SIAI (2)(3).
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*>
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*>-Scott
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*>
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*>(1)
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*><http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html>http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html
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*>(2) http://www.intelligence.org/overview/whatisthesingularity
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*>(3)
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*><http://www.intelligence.org/overview/whyworktowardthesingularity>http://www.singinst.org/overview/whyworktowardthesingularity
*

Dr Anthony Berglas, anthony@berglas.org Mobile: +61 4 4838 8874

Just because it is possible to push twigs along the ground with ones nose

does not necessarily mean that is the best way to collect firewood.

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