From: Alexei Turchin (email@example.com)
Date: Mon Dec 08 2008 - 15:24:41 MST
Every risk is worth considering, because we don''t know how small it
is untill we calculate it.
I estimate that probability of teoretical possibility of ignition of
giant planet is arround 1 per cent.
And I estimate that chases of intended or occasional detonation of any
planet is also 1 per cent for next several hundreds years
So, the chanses of human extinction from given risk is around 1 to 10 000.
On 12/8/08, Samantha Atkins <firstname.lastname@example.org> wrote:
> How small a risk, even of something catastrophic, is small enough that it
> isn't worth considering?
> On Sat, Nov 22, 2008 at 1:15 PM, Alexei Turchin <email@example.com>
> > I wrote an essay about the possibility of artificial ignition of
> > fusion reaction in gas planets like Jupiter and Saturn ( and in the
> > Earth oceans also) which is small but serious existential risk.
> > Giant planets ignition
> > http://www.scribd.com/doc/8299748/Giant-planets-ignition
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