From: Eugen Leitl (eugen@leitl.org)
Date: Fri Jan 02 2004 - 07:01:12 MST
On Fri, Jan 02, 2004 at 12:38:54PM +0000, Mitchell Porter wrote:
> If it motivates you... But I don't think it will happen, and
> I also don't think it spells doom. Basically, in my view the
> sequence of developments will be dumb grey goo, AI,
> smart grey goo. Dumb goo just replicates blindly. Smart
Molecular circuitry will come considerably sooner than self-replicating
machine-phase systems; that substrate seems sufficient for a brute-force AI
bootstrap.
As AI changes all the rules, I don't think it's valid to postulate any
milestone sequence in good faith.
> goo is like Vinge's Blight. Dumb goo comes before AI
> because it's simpler. AI comes before smart goo because
> AI on a stable platform is easier. Humans have a chance
> against dumb goo; they don't, against sufficiently smart
Ecosystem goes in a couple of days; will human have a chance? I doubt it, but
I also doubt a team of human designers will produce something as fulminant as
this.
You can't sustainably protect an ecosystem without thoroughly salting it with
the countermeasure -- this would be almost as bad as the blight itself.
> goo; but there'll be an opening for Friendly AI in between.
-- Eugen* Leitl leitl
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